Adapt or Die!” Brad Pitt exclaims to his head scout in the hit movie “Money Ball.”

Brad Pitt

This should be your mindset during a fantasy football draft. You will most likely go into a draft with one plan and come out using three different back up plans just to survive. Remember it’s all about putting the best possible lineup together week in and week out, not trying to prove that the RB-RB-WR-WR-QB or RB-WR-WR-RB-TE method is the best way to win a league. Theories on drafting are like excuses for bad fantasy football teams, everyone has one.

As Mike Tyson so eloquently said, ” Everybody has a plan until they get punched in the face.” That punch in the face is usually an extremely long WR run in the middle of a draft.

Mike Tyson

Many great owners show up to drafts with spreadsheets and laptops thinking that they planned for every possible scenario to unfold only to realize that a live draft is always a test of how one functions in complete chaos. Cellphones are constantly going off. Kids are running around using your cheat sheets to draw their favorite cartoon characters. The pizza guy is waiting to get paid like in “Home Alone.” Your high school buddy keeps drafting players who have already been taken. With all this chaos you have to try to stay in that drafting Zone.

For example, it’s round three and you have a late-round pick. The wings and pizza have just arrived and you’re starving. Your plan was to take Roddy White or Larry Fitzgeraldand can’t see how either don’t make it to your pick, so you grab some wings and start to make a mess when low and behold the two guys in front of you draft White and Fitzgerald back-to-back.

Oh no! What do you do? Do you draft the next receiver on your list that only has a fourth-round grade? Do you draft Drew Brees even though you wanted to wait until after the fifth round for a QB? Is it too early for Gronkowski? How’s his back, anyway?

All of these questions are running through your head as you wipe thermonuclear wing sauce right into your eyes. Temporarily blinded you walk up to the draft board without a clue as to who you’re actually going to pick. You look at the names on the stickers hoping one pops out at you. You search for a lifeline on the faces of your friends that want nothing more than to see you pick a kicker, until you finally draft Brees just so you can slink back to your seat.

You clean your eyes. You take a deep breath and talk yourself into your new plan. How can I be upset? I drafted a guy who can go for 5,000 yards and 40 touchdowns. What’s not to love? When Tom Brady slips to the the seventh round and your second wide receiver ends up being Greg Jennings you resign yourself to finishing your friends 12 pack just to numb the pain.

We’ve all been there and during this recent mock draft at www.myfantasyleague.com I found myself right back in the line of fire when my plan had to be scrapped in round four. While I didn’t have Buffalo wing sauce in my eyes or beer spilled on my cheat sheets, I did have something happen that I wasn’t prepared for. A GM went RB-WR-WR-WR to start the draft right in front of me. I never saw it coming. I should have, but I didn’t.

You can never discount the “human element” to a draft. Mistakes can and will happen. People do strange things when under pressure, and there is no greater pressure in late August then when you’re on the clock after your target was taken right in front of you. Just remember, you aren’t drafting against expert algorithms. You’re drafting against car salesmen, accountants, teachers, and even in some cases, stay at home dads.

3.01 25 @bhucks83 Bush, Reggie DET RB
3.02 26 @KVHehateMe Miller, Lamar MIA RB
3.03 27 @aidendrakesdad Brees, Drew NOS QB
3.04 28 @Fantasytaz Ridley, Stevan NEP RB
3.05 29 @coachesser Murray, DeMarco DAL RB
3.06 30 @rpm1010 Johnson, Andre HOU WR
3.07 31 @Moondog2410 Cobb, Randall GBP WR
3.08 32 @Brayden581Tony Rodgers, Aaron GBP QB
3.09 33 @paultheoret Harvin, Percy SEA WR
3.10 34 @SundaysRule Cruz, Victor NYG WR
3.11 35 @AdamRonis Gore, Frank SFO RB
3.12 36 @RotoRankings McFadden, Darren OAK RB
The third round for me was all about getting the best WR or RB available. Lamar Millergoing at 26 had to make me really think about going RB otherwise I would be playing rookie roullette with my next pick. I considered Roddy White and Andre Johnson, but decided on DeMarco Murray because I could be left with no RB options in the 4th at 44 overall. Victor Cruz easily could have gone higher if he signed his extension before the draft.
Note Randall Cobb has been consistently going before Percy Harvin in recent drafts and that was the case here as well. @AdamRonis went with three straight RBs to start a PPR draft which is a little unusual, but he couldn’t pass up Gore’s value there. The top two QBs came off the board which is to be expected and @RotoRankings was forced to pick Darren McFadden after going WR-TE to start the draft.
4.01 37 @RotoRankings Lacy, Eddie GBP RB(R)
4.02 38 @AdamRonis Gronkowski, Rob NEP TE
4.03 39 @SundaysRule Bell, Le’Veon PIT RB(R)
4.04 40 @paultheoret Ball, Montee DEN RB(R)
4.05 41 @Brayden581Tony White, Roddy ATL WR
4.06 42 @Moondog2410 Nicks, Hakeem NYG WR
4.07 43 @rpm1010 Jackson, Vincent TBB WR
4.08 44 @coachesser Witten, Jason DAL TE
4.09 45 @Fantasytaz Nelson, Jordy GBP WR
4.10 46 @aidendrakesdad Colston, Marques NOS WR
4.11 47 @KVHehateMe Welker, Wes DEN WR
4.12 48 @bhucks83 Wayne, Reggie IND WR
The fourth round saw the top three rookie RBs go in the first four picks. I personally like Bernard’s PPR upside better than all three, but RB pickings were getting low. After Ball went I was going to choose from whoever was left out of White, Nicks and Jackson and planned that at least one of them would get to me. White was a bit of a pipe dream as he has been a PPR monster, but I would have loved Nicks in his “prove it” year. To my surprise @rpm1010 went for his third receiver before getting a second RB and I needed to regroup. I had a group of six receivers that I liked and didn’t prefer any over the other so I changed gears and went with Jason Witten who is my #2 PPR TE hoping one of the six would make it back to me in the 5th.
5.01 49 @bhucks83 Amendola, Danny NEP WR
5.02 50 @KVHehateMe Bernard, Giovani CIN RB (R)
5.03 51 @aidendrakesdad Ivory, Chris NYJ RB
5.04 52 @Fantasytaz Bradshaw, Ahmad IND RB
5.05 53 @coachesser Bowe, Dwayne KCC WR
5.06 54 @rpm1010 Manning, Peyton DEN QB
5.07 55 @Moondog2410 Garcon, Pierre WAS WR
5.08 56 @Brayden581Tony Smith, Torrey BAL WR
5.09 57 @paultheoret Wallace, Mike MIA WR
5.10 58 @SundaysRule Brown, Antonio PIT WR
5.11 59 @AdamRonis Smith, Steve CAR WR
5.12 60 @RotoRankings Mathews, Ryan SDC RB
Since I went with a TE in round 4 I needed one of my receiver targets to make it back to me. Luckily Dwayne Bowe was there for me and he became the pick with no questions asked. Chris Ivory and Ahmad Bradshaw continued to go earlier in drafts as their stock has steadily gone up over the summer. both are injury prone and not my ideal RB2, but as a RB3 I am okay with either. This may be the last time you see Danny Amendola in the fifth round in a PPR for the rest of the summer. His ADP has risen almost as fast as Vereen’s in the last few weeks. Antonio Brown could be a steal in the fifth round of a PPR draft if Big Ben and Todd Haley can get on the same page.
6.01 61 @RotoRankings Decker, Eric DEN WR
6.02 62 @AdamRonis Shorts, Cecil JAC WR
6.03 63 @SundaysRule Davis, Vernon SFO TE
6.04 64 @paultheoret Austin, Tavon STL WR (R)
6.05 65 @Brayden581Tony Johnson, Stevie BUF WR
6.06 66 @Moondog2410 Gonzalez, Tony ATL TE
6.07 67 @rpm1010 Vereen, Shane NEP RB
6.08 68 @coachesser Newton, Cam CAR QB
6.09 69 @Fantasytaz Mendenhall, Rashard ARI RB
6.10 70 @aidendrakesdad Jones, James GBP WR
6.11 71 @KVHehateMe Britt, Kenny TEN WR
6.12 72 @bhucks83 Gordon, Josh CLE WR
I was targeting Shane Vereen here as my third RB and Flex option as he should be a big piece of the Patriots passing offense this year. @rpm1010 stole him out from under me again, but I was prepared to take my 4th rated QB if Vereen didn’t last. Newton has finished in the top 5 in scoring the past two years and closed the year strong last season so I was filling out a nice starting lineup. Vernon Davis went ahead of Tony Gonzalez again and most likely won’t outperform the old tight end again. @Fantasytaz took Rashard Mendenhall who is the last of the clear cut starting RBs left on the board and who I hoped would make it to me in the 7th round. Kenny Britt and Josh Gordonboth went at the bottom of the round and are both gambles, just for different reasons.
7.01 73 @bhucks83 Jennings, Greg MIN WR
7.02 74 @KVHehateMe Wilson, Russell SEA QB
7.03 75 @aidendrakesdad Green-Ellis, BenJarvus CIN RB
7.04 76 @Fantasytaz Alexander, Danario SDC WR
7.05 77 @coachesser Hilton, T.Y. IND WR
7.06 78 @rpm1010 Pead, Isaiah STL RB
7.07 79 @Moondog2410 Ingram, Mark NOS RB
7.08 80 @Brayden581Tony Hopkins, DeAndre HOU WR (R)
7.09 81 @paultheoret Brown, Andre NYG RB
7.10 82 @SundaysRule Ryan, Matt ATL QB
7.11 83 @AdamRonis Williams, Mike TBB WR
7.12 84 @RotoRankings Austin, Miles DAL WR
A big man can admit his mistakes and I am definitely a big man. In the seventh I went with T.Y. Hilton when I could have had Mike Williams in a contract year. Williams has been a big time red-zone target and is definitely a favorite of Josh Freeman. Notice Tom Brady has still not been taken. A bit of an overreaction to the Patriots offseason that a shrewd GM can capitalize on in the next round. Andre Brown goes in the seventh and looks to be solidifying himself as a solid third RB option on most fantasy teams.
8.01 85 @RotoRankings Moore, Lance NOS WR
8.02 86 @AdamRonis Brady, Tom NEP QB
8.03 87 @SundaysRule Stewart, Jonathan CAR RB
8.04 88 @paultheoret Pierce, Bernard BAL RB
8.05 89 @Brayden581Tony Griffin III, Robert WAS QB
8.06 90 @Moondog2410 Romo, Tony DAL QB
8.07 91 @rpm1010 Pitta, Dennis BAL TE
8.08 92 @coachesser Woodhead, Danny SDC RB
8.09 93 @Fantasytaz Luck, Andrew IND QB
8.10 94 @aidendrakesdad Brown, Bryce PHI RB
8.11 95 @KVHehateMe Brown, Vincent SDC WR
8.12 96 @bhucks83 Rudolph, Kyle MIN TE
I was desperate for a RB here in the eighth. I settled on Danny Woodhead as he could be Darren Sproles light for Phillip Rivers in San Diego this season. Woodhead performed like a top 25 PPR RB the last few seasons and I have no faith in Ryan Mathews abilities anymore. The QB run came fast and furious as Tom Brady finally came off the board to RotoExperts @AdamRonis and ended when @Fantasytaz took Andrew Luck. Dennis Pitta in the eighth makes me rethink my Witten pick in the 4th just a bit. I’m very high on Pitta, but I’ll take the sure thing with Witten for now. @RotoRankings went back to back with great value picks in the seventh and eighth in Miles Austin and Lance Moore. @KVHehateme went with everyone’s sleeper WR pick when he took Vincent Brown, but it seemed like a reach to me at this point in the draft.

This article originally was posted at www.bigblueview.com on July 12th, 2013