Just three games on the slate tonight so picking value is a must. Another must for tournament play? The Contrarian Play of the Night!

Must Play

Nikola Mirotic – PF – Chicago Bulls
Mirotic is starting to look like the 2014-2015 version of himself which is a great thing. He’s been spending some time in the small forward position so he’s been able to body opposing small forwards. Mirotic is 6’10”, 220lbs. His opponent tonight? Otto Porter, 6’8”, 198 lbs”. Mirotic is also a big threat from deep (5-9 January 9th vs Atlanta) which equals DK bonus points. Slide Nikola into your lineups.

Klay Thompson – SG – Golden State Warriors
If you’re going to pay for a Warrior tonight – Thompson is just right. Just like the Goldilocks and the Three Bears. One’s too hot (Expensive, for argument sake – Steph Curry $10,500). One’s too cold (Harrison Barnes $5,400). One’s just right – and that’s Thompson. Over his last six games played – just once has he not scored over 40 DraftKings points. With Curry playing on a bad shin – the other splash brother has been shooting the ball a lot more.

Stay Away

Tim Duncan – C – San Antonio Spurs
While looking at defense vs position is a good indicator of how a player will perform – Tim Duncan is a straight up trap. While the Nets are a mess of a team – Duncan is just turning out to be a bad DFS play every night. Brooklyn is giving up 55.4 DK points over their last 5 games but Duncan just doesn’t stay on the court enough (Thanks, Pop..) His minutes can be as high as 32 (Christmas day vs Houston) but as low as 14 (Jan 2nd vs Houston). While his $5,400 price tag is attractive – the value just isn’t there.

Luol Deng – SF – Miami Heat
Luol Deng looks like a nice value play. He’s anything but that. He does receive constant minutes but he’s not even close to being an offensive threat – even when the bench is on the court. He’s only managed six shots in each of his last two games and he hasn’t hit a three pointer in four games. Stay far away from Deng.

Contrarian Play of The Night

Gorgan Dragic – PG – Miami Heat
Miami is going to lose against the Warriors tonight. Let’s just get that out of the way now. BUT Miami and Golden State are projected to have the highest point total out of all the games (207). If the Heat want a chance in the game – they’re going to need Dragic to hit his shots. In his revenge game against the Suns on the 8th, he secured a solid 39.5 DK points in 36 minutes. The Heat need Dragic to come up huge because Draymond Green is going to eliminate Miami’s number one scoring option – Chris Bosh.

Thanks for reading! If you have any DFS or season long questions – drop me a tweet! @BESTofMATT