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DraftKings PGA DFS Podcast for The Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill

DraftKings PGA DFS Podcast for The Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill

@HitTheHighDraw of ProjectRoto.com stops by the podcast to discuss DraftKings PGA DFS for The Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill.

We discuss the top tier guys, such as Rory McIlroy, Henrik Stenson, Adam Scott, Justin Rose, Jason Day and Hideki Matsuyama.

We talk about The top mid tier guys like Kevin Kisner, Zach Johnson, Harris English, Graeme McDowell, Gary Woodland, and Jason Kokrak.

We talk about some low priced sleepers like Smylie Kaufman, Hudson Swafford, Will Wilcox, Bud Cauley, David Hearn and Brett Stegmaier.

DraftKings NBA DFS Must Plays, Stay Aways & The Bargain Bin, March 11th

Friday night is basketball night! The association is packed with ten games for you to choose from. I’ll breakdown the must plays of tonight, the stay aways and who you should dive into the bargain bin for.

Must Plays:

Brook Lopez – C – ($7,800) @ Philadelphia 76ers

The 76ers are bad. I shouldn’t have to tell you this. They’re also pretty bad at defence in the paint. Brook Lopez should be able to have his way against Philly’s bigs. Only once in his last four games has he attempted less than 17 shots. While the 76ers have given up 65.3 DK points over the last five to opposing centres, Brook Lopez should be firmly placed in your lineup.

Damian Lillard – PG – ($9,800) @ Golden State Warriors

If the Trail Blazers have a shot at beating the Warriors (which they do), it’ll rest solely on Damian Lillard’s shoulders. Ever since the all-star snub (and releasing a song about it) he’s been on fire. Golden State doesn’t defend the point guard position well (54.9 DK points per game over the last five to opposing PG’s). Lillard has played the Warriors twice and has averaged 45.5 points against them. You didn’t read that wrong. Get him in your lineup.

Stay Aways:

James Harden – SG – ($10,600) @ Boston Celtics

James Harden is usually a safe play in cash games but tonight he’s not. He’s struggled against the Celtics strong defence this year. He only produced 21 DK points to go along with just 16 points and 3 assists. In order for Harden to hit value tonight in a cash game, he needs about 42.4 points. I just don’t see that happening. Harden is way too expensive tonight

Marvin Williams – PF – ($5,400) vs Detroit Pistons

Please fade Marvin Williams. His ownership has been through the roof because he’s been pretty consistent (minus a dud against the Pacers). Williams has been making opponents pay with his mobility and his ability to spread the floor. Someone who does that as well? Tobias Harris. Detroit looks like a way better team with Harris and Andre Drummond roaming the paint. Marvin Williams will produce a dud

The Bargain Bin:

Jason Smith – PF – ($3,500) @ Sacramento Kings

With DeMarcus Cousins taking a seat for screaming at George Karl, that leaves Jason Smith as a very good option against a banged up Kings team. Aaron Gordon would be the play here BUT he’s just way too expensive at $6,700. Smith isn’t afraid to shoot the ball. He’s thrown up 22 shots over his last two games and has hit value on his very low price. I don’t expect that to stop tonight.

Avery Bradley – SG – ($4,700) vs Houston Rockets

My favourite play. The “Whoever James Harden is Guarding” play. Avery Bradley is perfect for this category. He loves to toss up three pointers and DraftKings rewards you for drafting three point shooters. In limited time the last time Boston squared off against the Rockets, Bradley picked up 21 points on his way to a 28.3 DK point performance. He should match that and then produce more tonight.

 

Thanks for reading! If you have any NBA DFS or season long questions, feel free to reach out to me via Twitter @BESTofMATT

PGA DFS Podcast for the Valspar Championship

PGA DFS Podcast for the Valspar Championship


The Moosenomics (@TheMoosenomics) joins me for a PGA DFS Podcast for the 2016 Northern Trust Open at Riviera Country Club.

We discuss:

The Copperhead Course-  What you need to know, which stats you should concentrate on.

Initial Thoughts- Lots of Euros sticking around after the WGC. Patrick Reed’s struggles, Jordan Spieth defends his Valspar title

Fades

Must Owns

Low priced players from each price tier.

Finally we build head to head DraftKings teams and we will keep track of the contest here on the site.

Don’t forget to head to ProjectRoto.com and use the Promo Code Moose for 25% off when you sign up for their Premium Content

DraftKings NBA DFS Must Plays, Stay Aways & The Bargain Bin, March 4th

Very busy night in the association with ten games on the slate. That means there’s plenty of options for you to build your lineup around. Keep reading DraftKings NBA DFS Must Plays, Stay Aways & The Bargain Bin for March 4th below to find out who you should use, who you should stay away from and who you should pick out of the bargain bin.

Must Plays:

Elfrid Payton – PG – ($5,200) vs Phoenix Suns

If anybody absolutely has to be in your lineup tonight, its Elfrid Payton. He has torched the Suns in the past (12 points, 10 assists, 5 steals, 40.8 DK points) and Phoenix hasn’t improved since. Even if Evan Fournier returns to the lineup tonight, the only major source of offence Orlando will have is Payton and Victor Oladipo. Fournier will need a couple games to become an effective DFS option again. At Payton’s low price, picking him is a no-brainer.

Luol Deng – SF – ($6,200) @ Philadelphia 76ers

Even though Luol Deng is listed as a small forward on DraftKings, he’s actually playing power forward for the Heat. Philadelphia can’t guard the power forward position well at all. With Chris Bosh out of the lineup, Deng has scooped up his offensive production. He’s gone eight straight games with 10 or more shot attempts in each contest. Against a bad 76ers squad, he should continue to shoot the ball a ton.

Al Horford – C – ($7,400) @ Los Angeles Lakers

Picking on bad teams is fun. Al Horford should have the paint all to himself tonight against the Lakers. Over the last five games, LA has given up an average of 61.1 DK points to opposing centers. Horford should be able to easily bully his way through Roy Hibbert and snag you some DK points.

Stay Aways:

Damian Lillard – PG – ($9,000) @ Toronto Raptors

There is almost no way that Damian Lillard reaches value tonight against the Raptors. Toronto gives up the third least points per night to point guards at 19.4 and the third lowest field goal percentage at 40.1%. At his lofty price of $9,000, you can find better value on the board instead of Lillard.

Nicolas Batum – SG – ($6,600) vs Indiana Pacers

Nicolas Batum has been incredibly streaky this year. He performs great in favorable matchups and then disappears into mediocrity for the rest. He’s actually playing small forward for the Hornets and that means he’s slated to go head to head against Paul George for most of the night. That’s not favorable at all.

The Bargain Bin:

Matthew Dellavedova – PG – ($3,700) vs Washington Wizards

With Mo Williams sidelined with an injury, Matthew Dellavedova immediately becomes the Cavaliers backup point guard. He’s not afraid to shoot the ball and he’s had some success versus Washington this season. In three games this year, he’s averaged about 20 DK points per contest. At his price, that’s exceeding value.

Anthony Brown – SF – ($3,000) vs Atlanta Hawks

This is a contrarian play, a bargain bin play and a “keep an eye out if Kobe Bryant is going to start” play. When Kobe is out, Anthony Brown takes all of his minutes. The problem is, he hasn’t been able to produce on the offensive side of the ball… yet. Atlanta is a middle of the pack team when it comes to guarding opposing small forwards. If Kobe is out, Brown is a great option in GPP’s.

 

Thanks for reading! If you have any questions regarding NBA DFS or even your season long leagues, feel free to reach out to me via Twitter (@BESTofMATT)

 

DraftKings NBA DFS Must Plays, Stay Aways & The Bargain Bin, February 26

Eight games in the association tonight leaves you a ton of options when picking your DraftKings NBA lineup. Continue reading and find out what players you should build your lineup around and what players you should avoid.

 

Must Plays:

Kyle Lowry – PG – ($8,400) vs Cleveland Cavaliers

There’s no doubt that Kyle Lowry is the heart and soul of the Raptors on and off the court. He always seems to bring his A-game against more difficult opponents. He’s shown twice this year vs the Cavaliers that he always steps up (18-30 FGA/FGM, .455 3P%, averaging 25 points, 8 assists, 3.5 rebounds and 3 steals). At $8,400, Lowry is someone you can reasonably build your lineup around.

Kristaps Porzingis – PF – ($6,500) vs Orlando Magic

This is locked in as not only the best power forward play of the night but also the contrarian play of the night. People will see Porzingis’ name next to dunk-master Aaron Gordon and flock towards him. You should stick with Porzingis. Orlando has a ton of players that love to drive to the net and that means Porzingis might have a block party. In two games played against the Magic earlier this year – Porzingis is averaging five blocks per game. Slide the big Latvian in your GPP lineups and even in some cash ones too.

Tristan Thompson – PF – ($5,400) @ Toronto Raptors

Here’s the thing. The Raptors (Specifically Jonas Valanciunas and Luis Scola) can’t play defence against big men. That bodes well for rebounding machine Tristan Thompson. While Kyle Lowry and DeMar DeRozan throw up shots all game, Thompson will be under the net ready to gobble up all the rebounds.

Stay Aways:

Victor Oladipo – SG – ($7,000) @ New York Knicks

Victor Oladipo is dealing with a bruised thigh but is still good to play. That is terrible for fantasy value. You might peek at his game log and think I’m crazy because he’s put up 40+ DK Points in two of his last four games but look again and look at his minutes. There’s no way Oladipo plays close to 40 minutes on a bruised thigh which severely impacts his value in DFS

Bradley Beal – SG – ($6,400) @ Philadelphia 76ers

This is the classic “trap” pick. Bradley Beal looks like a great option at $6,400 against a bad 76ers squad but dig a little deeper and you’ll see that he’s just over priced. Beal has not looked like himself at all over the last three games, going a combined 18/49 from the field for a FG% of .367. He’s too cold and will be too highly owned based on his matchup. Stay away until Beal figures it out.

The Bargain Bin:

Doug McDermott – SF – ($4,000) @ Atlanta Hawks

With Derrick Rose listed as questionable going into Fridays game, Doug McDermott immediately slides up the offensive priority list. He might not be the starter but I can guarantee you he’s not only better than the 35 year-old Mike Dunleavy but will also shoot the ball a heck of a lot more.

Patrick Patterson – PF – ($3,900) vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Luis Scola will not play a majority of the game because the man cannot play defence. Insert Patrick Patterson. He’s already been averaging more minutes and more points than Scola over the month of February and that won’t change against the high octane offence that Cleveland has.

 

Thanks for reading! If you have any questions regarding NBA DFS or NBA season long leagues, feel free to reach out to me via Twitter @BESTofMATT

DraftKings PGA DFS Podcast for The Honda Classic

DraftKings PGA DFS Podcast for The Honda Classic

@HitTheHighDraw of ProjectRoto.com stops by the podcast to discuss DraftKings PGA DFS for The Honda Classic.

We discuss the top tier guys, such as Rory McIlroy, Rickie Fowler, Patrick Reed, Adam Scott, Hideki Matsuyama, and Kevin Kisner.

We talk about how the Euro’s/Euro players may dominate the leaderboards with Shane Lowry, Graeme McDowell, Paul Casey, Padraig Harrington, Branden Grace, Luke Donald, Russell Knox, Matthew Fitzpatrick, and Jamie Donaldson all being in play this week.

We talk about some low priced sleepers like Will Mackenzie, Tyrone Van Aswegen, Ben Crane, Scott Piercy and Francesco Molinari

DraftKings NBA DFS Must Plays, Stay Aways & The Bargain Bin, February 19

Jam packed slate of games on this Friday night so there’s plenty of selection for you out there. Who should you blow the bank on, who should you avoid and who did I yank out of the bargain bin? Continue reading and find out DraftKings NBA DFS Must Plays, Stay Aways & The Bargain Bin for February 19!

This DFS article is brought to you by TheSportsGeek.com.

TheSportsGeek DFS

 

Must Plays:

Pau Gasol – C – ($8,700) vs Toronto Raptors

This is too juicy of a matchup to ignore. It’s no surprise that the Raptors can’t guard anyone in the paint. It’s also no surprise that Pau Gasol has owned Toronto this year. In two games against the Raptors, Gasol has averaged 20 points and 10 rebounds to go along with 47.5 DraftKings points. Get this dinosaur killer in your lineup

Nicolas Batum – SG – ($7,400) @ Milwaukee Bucks

The Charlotte Hornets made a splash at the deadline acquiring Courtney Lee to fill in for the injured Michael Kidd-Gilchrist. Unfortunately for the Hornets, Lee won’t be able to join the team for Fridays game. With MKG already out, Al Jefferson doubtful and Marvin Williams questionable – the offence has got to come from somewhere and that somewhere is Nicolas Batum.

 

Stay Away:

Steph Curry – PG – ($10,800) @ Portland Trailblazers

It’s not often you see ‘Steph Curry’ and ‘Stay Away’ near eachother like today but Curry is definitely a fade tonight. Curry is running into a Trailblazers team that has actually been good at guarding the point guard position over their last five (31.9 DraftKings points given up to opposing PG). Even with his skill-set, there’s a low chance he hits value for his high price tag tonight.

Karl-Anthony Towns – C – ($8,500) @ Memphis Grizzlies

People will be making their lineups and see the big KAT and remember the feel-good story that he was at the skills competition. Don’t fall into that trap. He’s over-priced at $8,500 because he’s running into a surprisingly good Gasol-less Memphis defence. JaMychal Green has been filling in admirably and the expected return of Brandan Wright should put a stop to Towns.

 

The Bargain Bin:

Deron Williams – PG – ($5,900) @ Orlando Magic

Prior to the All-Star break, Deron Williams was shooting the ball at a high rate. 32 FGA over his last two games to be exact. Orlando is simply not good at guarding the 1, giving up an average of 49.6 DraftKings points to opposing point guards. Williams is a perfect player to flex or even use as your starting point guard

Will Barton – SG – ($5,500) @ Sacramento Kings

Dubbed “Will The Thrill” at the dunk contest, Will Barton will thrill you tonight with how he’ll torch the Kings. The Kings are a mess. 2-8 in their last ten and still holding onto disgruntled players past the trade deadline. They also happen to not be very good at guarding the 2. Giving up 45.6 DraftKings points over the last five games to shooting guards makes Will The Thrill a definite play tonight.

 

Thanks for reading! If you have any NBA DFS or season long questions, feel free to reach out to me via Twitter @BESTofMATT

TheSportsGeek DFS

DraftKings PGA DFS Podcast for Pebble Beach Pro Am

DraftKings PGA DFS Podcast for Pebble Beach Pro Am

@HitTheHighDraw of ProjectRoto.com stops by the podcast to discuss DraftKings PGA DFS for the Pebble Beach Pro Am.

We discuss the top tier guys, such as Jordan Spieth, Dustin Johnson, Jimmy Walker, Jason Day and J.B. Holmes, as 12 golfers are priced over 9K this week.

We talk about some low priced sleepers like Steven Bowditch, Jon Curran, Matt Every, Bud Cauley, Dawie van der Walt

We talk about some oldies and possible goodies like Stewart Cink, Lucas Glover, Phil Mickelson and few more.

We also discuss our One and Done selections and why we’re using them at Pebble and why we’re saving someone else for down the road.

 

PGA DFS Podcast for the 2016 Waste Management Phoenix Open

PGA DFS Podcast for the
2016 Waste Management Phoenix Open


The Moosenomics (@TheMoosenomics) joins me for a PGA DFS Podcast for the 2016 Waste Management Phoenix Open.  We discuss how the famous spreadsheet came to be and how it ended up becoming a big part of the ProjectRoto arsenal.

Our different takes on PGA DFS were on full display as you can hear me harp on cash game plays while The Moose focuses on how each player can be used in GPP lineups.

We discuss:

The Farmers Insurance Open

The Stadium Course at TPC Scottsdale

Key Stats for the week

Horses for the course

DraftKings prices we think are too high or too low

Finally we build head to head DraftKings teams and we will keep track of the contest here on the site.

Don’t forget to head to ProjectRoto.com and use the Promo Code Moose for 25% off when you sign up for their Premium Content

Warning *NSFW*

 

Waste Management Phoenix Open DraftKings Picks

Waste Management Phoenix Open DraftKings Picks

After a big time performance by Brandt Snedeker at the Farmers Insurance Open there is no better way to celebrate than head to the desert at TPC Scottsdale for the Waste Management Phoenix Open.  The stadium course is know for it’s rocking ways and for it’s incredible fan atmosphere which will be a big change from watching an empty Torrey Pines on Monday morning finish.  There are major swings on Sundays at holes 15 through 17 at the stadium course as two par 5’s sandwich a par 3 that has become notorious for seeing players not be able to handle the stadium atmosphere.  Local heros like Phil Mickelson get cheered while sticks in the mud get booed.  In the following post I’ll give you a look at how I’m attacking my Waste Management Phoenix Open picks.

Course Information ( TPC Scottsdale Stadium Course, Par 71, 7,266 Yards with decent sized greens)

Horses for the course:

Bubba Watson 12,100
Watson has finished runner up twice and his game is picture perfect for this now lengthened course.  He’s averaged over 100 DK points the last four years at Phoenix so it’s going to be tough to fade him.

Phil Mickelson 10600
Phil has won here a bunch, but all back when the course was playing shorter and with easier landing areas.  There was some hope going into Torrey Pines that Phil had fixed something, but he imploded in Friday and doesn’t look like the skills merit this price tag right now.

Hideki Matsuyama 11000
Matsuyama is maddening as he’s such a terrible putter.  He blew it on the Friday just last week as his putter let him down as he battled to make the cut.  Luckily his putter isn’t such a big deal in Phoenix where his tee to green game can see him once again top 100 DK points.  The only question is, is his price tag too high for how he’s playing right now.  I think it is, but we’ll see what TheMoosenomics thinks on the podcast.

Graham DeLaet 7700
DeLaet famously called out Patrick Reed for withdrawing from the Farmers Insurance Open last week after he shot over 80 in the 3rd round.


DeLaet is an incredible ball striker and has great course history here.  If he had played better at FIO, I’m sure his price may have been prohibitive, but at 7700 he’s a solid play.

Hunter Mahan 7600
Hunter Mahan has averaged over 87 DK points his last three times teeing it up in the desert and won in 2014.  He had a down 2015, but all reports have him back on the grind to try and make the Ryder Cup team.  Mahan’s price has me using him a decent amount this week.

Ryan Palmer 9900
Ryan Palmer has excelled at the WMPO over the years.  Palmer is deceptively long off the tee and is an excellent putter.  His numbers on approaches from 150 to 200 yards out are also top notch.  I really like Palmer this week.

Webb Simpson 9200
Webb Simpson burst on the scene a few years ago with a big US Open win over Jim Furyk.  Since then he has been inconsistent and now faces 2016 without an anchored putter.  Luckily his putter won’t be an issue in Phoenix as the greens are relatively easy.  His tee to green strokes gained and excellent numbers from 150 to 200+ approach shots have me liking him even more.  His price is going to scare some off because of his recent play, but this is the week to grab him.

Kevin Na 10000
Kevin Na hasn’t topped 73 DK points since the course was lengthened.  His ideal approach shot is from 125-150 yards and he’s not going to see too many of those this week.  The price is a bit high for me even though he is in form.

Two Pricing stacks that are going to be hard to choose one golfer from:

1) David Lingmerth 9000
Brendon Steele 8800
Ryan Moore 8500
I can make a case for all three of these guys.  Lingmerth should have won over Dufner at the Career Builder Challenge, but alas fell just short.  He’s in great form and his stats match up well with this course in particular. (Great from 175-200)  Brendon Steele does some of his best work in the desert as he’s scored over 90 DK points in three of the last four years.  His form is good and the only thing holding me back is he may have gotten beaten up a little playing the Farmers.  Ryan Moore plays well at TPC Scottsdale.   It’s a home court advantage for him as he’s topped 100 DK points two out of the last three years.  I’m using Lingmerth in GPPs and Steele and Moore in cash game lineups right now.

2) Graham DeLaet  7700
Martin Laird  7700
Jamie Lovemark  7700
DeLaet and Laird both do some of their best work at this course.  DeLaet has averaged over 99 DK points the last two years and Laird has averaged over 90 in that span.  Laird also boasts a top 5 finish in 2011.  Lovemark is breaking out at the start of the calendar year and his driver is a big reason why.  My only issue is Jamie is in his comfort zone when he can go driver wedge and outside of that it leaves a little to be desired when it comes to his approach proximity.  Lovemark is a GPP play for me, but I’ll be using Laird and DeLaet in both formats.  Maybe a little more Laird in mid cash games as I feel he will be the least used in those games.

My Coin Flip Play

One of my favorite coin flip match ups this week is Sean O’Hair 6500 and Kevin Chappell at 6500.  I like both of them and was leaning more to Chappell when I initially got the pricing, but I started to hedge a little with O’Hair.  O’Hair is off to an excellent start this year with the driver and has been putting great.  My only issue with him is his iron play leaves a lot to be desired lately.  The fact that he has skipped this tournament the last two years has me using him more in GPPs than cash.

My Sprinkles

Harold Varner III 6600

Ben Martin 6400

Morgan Hoffman 6600

Mark Hubbard 6100

 

 

 

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