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DraftKings PGA DFS Podcast for The Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill

DraftKings PGA DFS Podcast for The Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill

@HitTheHighDraw of ProjectRoto.com stops by the podcast to discuss DraftKings PGA DFS for The Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill.

We discuss the top tier guys, such as Rory McIlroy, Henrik Stenson, Adam Scott, Justin Rose, Jason Day and Hideki Matsuyama.

We talk about The top mid tier guys like Kevin Kisner, Zach Johnson, Harris English, Graeme McDowell, Gary Woodland, and Jason Kokrak.

We talk about some low priced sleepers like Smylie Kaufman, Hudson Swafford, Will Wilcox, Bud Cauley, David Hearn and Brett Stegmaier.

PGA DFS Podcast for the Valspar Championship

PGA DFS Podcast for the Valspar Championship


The Moosenomics (@TheMoosenomics) joins me for a PGA DFS Podcast for the 2016 Northern Trust Open at Riviera Country Club.

We discuss:

The Copperhead Course-  What you need to know, which stats you should concentrate on.

Initial Thoughts- Lots of Euros sticking around after the WGC. Patrick Reed’s struggles, Jordan Spieth defends his Valspar title

Fades

Must Owns

Low priced players from each price tier.

Finally we build head to head DraftKings teams and we will keep track of the contest here on the site.

Don’t forget to head to ProjectRoto.com and use the Promo Code Moose for 25% off when you sign up for their Premium Content

DraftKings PGA DFS Podcast for The Honda Classic

DraftKings PGA DFS Podcast for The Honda Classic

@HitTheHighDraw of ProjectRoto.com stops by the podcast to discuss DraftKings PGA DFS for The Honda Classic.

We discuss the top tier guys, such as Rory McIlroy, Rickie Fowler, Patrick Reed, Adam Scott, Hideki Matsuyama, and Kevin Kisner.

We talk about how the Euro’s/Euro players may dominate the leaderboards with Shane Lowry, Graeme McDowell, Paul Casey, Padraig Harrington, Branden Grace, Luke Donald, Russell Knox, Matthew Fitzpatrick, and Jamie Donaldson all being in play this week.

We talk about some low priced sleepers like Will Mackenzie, Tyrone Van Aswegen, Ben Crane, Scott Piercy and Francesco Molinari

PGA DFS Podcast for the Northern Trust Open

PGA DFS Podcast for the Northern Trust Open


The Moosenomics (@TheMoosenomics) joins me for a PGA DFS Podcast for the 2016 Northern Trust Open at Riviera Country Club.

Our different takes on PGA DFS were on full display as you can hear me continue to harp on cash game plays and which players may be too highly owned for my liking while The Moose focuses on how each player can be used in GPP lineups.

We discuss:
Last week’s takeaways from the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro AM

We talk about the key statistics for the Northern Trust Open

Jordan Spieth or Rory McIlroy for your DraftKings Lineup

Can Charl Schwartzel keep up his tremendous play?

Which Euros should we keep an eye on? Sergio Garcia etc…

Which players from the 7000 to 7500 range are we building around? Patton Kizzire, Si Woo Kim, Jamie Lovemark, Patrick Rodgers

Which sleepers could make our GPP lineups on DraftKings this week?

Finally we build head to head DraftKings teams and we will keep track of the contest here on the site.

Don’t forget to head to ProjectRoto.com and use the Promo Code Moose for 25% off when you sign up for their Premium Content

PGA One and Done Pools

For years I was searching for a way to make fantasy golf more fun.  I had played the salary cap games, the tiered picks games and even the season long games.  None really held my attention and I slowly drifted more and more to betting on golf.  Obviously that’s not the easiest thing to pull off in the United States.  That was the extent of my PGA action, for lack of a better term, for years until I got an invite for a PGA Pool from a long time member of one of my Home Run Pools.  He figured he would reach out because I was usually up for every type of pool that was going on and boy was he right.  That email would become my initial introduction to PGA One and Done Pools and since then I haven’t looked back.  I’m currently in seven different pools with four of them being completely different formats and payout structures.  In the following post I will describe each contest so that you might make the time between the Super Bowl and the first NFL Game a little more fun.

PGA One and Done Pools

The idea of a PGA One and Done Pool is to pick a golfer for a certain tournament and then not get to use that golfer for the rest of the season.  If you pick Bubba Watson for The Masters you can’t use him anywhere else.  You keep a running total of money won for each and every week and pay the top finishers in whatever payout structure you want.  I usually follow the payout structures of Poker tournaments.  The more people in, the more spots get paid.
I use Google Forms and Google Sheets to keep track of everyone’s information, picks, standings and of course finances.
This structure makes it easy enough for even the most casual PGA fan to pay attention every week.  They have to do very little studying to make a pick each week as long as they concentrate on not picking the same player twice during the season.  Some sites that will run pools for you won’t allow the person to pick a player twice.  If you don’t mind taking some money out of the pot to avoid that headache later on I would suggest it.
I personally enjoy PGA One and Done Pools that start after January.  I like that it brings in all the fantasy football players and people who enjoy NFL Suicide Pools and you have a total of 37 tournaments to make it a long fun contest.  This year most of my pools started at Kapalua and the Hyundai Tournament of Champions.

A Regular PGA One and Done Pool

  • Can either be for the entire PGA Season from Fall to the Tour Championship, or from January until the Tour Championship, or it can start any time you want and end any time you want.  Some people don’t want it to bleed into Football season so they end after the last Major of the year.
  • Pick one player each week and never use them again.
  • Keep a running total of money one by the team
  • Pay out as you wish.  Some do winner take all and others pay as you go.  It all depends on what type of payout structure you want.  Most of the time I try to stick with Top 3 at the end of the year and add one more spot paid for every 10 people that join and max it out at 10 places paid.  you gotta make it worth the effort after all.

PGA One and Done Survivor Pool

These pools are very similar to regular one and dones, but really emphasize making cuts and high finishes because the low  man or woman gets knocked out of the tournament.  For instance if you were in a no cut event and you player was the lowest money winner you would be out of the competition, like a loss in an NFL Suicide Pool.

I play in many different versions of these types of PGA One and Done Survivor Pools.

  • Straight up suicide pool-  Lowest out of money won in a tournament or missed cuts are knocked out each week until there is one winner or the highest money won total still standing at the end of the season.
  • Two Tie we all tie-  If two or more people tie for the lowest money won or more than one person had their golfer miss the cut, then no one gets dropped from the competition.  You would be surprised how much you will root for your friend’s pick to miss the cut when your guy is already out of it.
  • Season Long PGA Suicide Pool with a Rebuy Option– This is run just like a regular suicide pool, but with the option to buy back in up until a certain point.  Usually the cut off for rebuys is around the The Players Championship.

PGA One and Done Pool with a Lone Wolf Option

I particularly enjoy this version of PGA One and Done Pools.  You play it just like a regular One and DOne Pool, but the players must go out on their own (Be the only one to pick a golfer in any given tournament) at least once.  You are not eligible to win the pool unless you picked a golfer no one else picked at least once.  There is also a side pot of 25% (or whatever amount you want) of the pot for the person who wins the most money with their lone wolf pick.  If people go Lone Wolf more than once the highest money won out of the picks is their total.  This is a good way to keep people involved who fall behind early and also has a bit more strategy.

With great content for PGA One and Done picks on PGATour.com, The Pat Mayo Hour and a ton of other places you should jump in one today!

DraftKings PGA DFS Podcast for Pebble Beach Pro Am

DraftKings PGA DFS Podcast for Pebble Beach Pro Am

@HitTheHighDraw of ProjectRoto.com stops by the podcast to discuss DraftKings PGA DFS for the Pebble Beach Pro Am.

We discuss the top tier guys, such as Jordan Spieth, Dustin Johnson, Jimmy Walker, Jason Day and J.B. Holmes, as 12 golfers are priced over 9K this week.

We talk about some low priced sleepers like Steven Bowditch, Jon Curran, Matt Every, Bud Cauley, Dawie van der Walt

We talk about some oldies and possible goodies like Stewart Cink, Lucas Glover, Phil Mickelson and few more.

We also discuss our One and Done selections and why we’re using them at Pebble and why we’re saving someone else for down the road.

 

PGA DFS Podcast for the 2016 Waste Management Phoenix Open

PGA DFS Podcast for the
2016 Waste Management Phoenix Open


The Moosenomics (@TheMoosenomics) joins me for a PGA DFS Podcast for the 2016 Waste Management Phoenix Open.  We discuss how the famous spreadsheet came to be and how it ended up becoming a big part of the ProjectRoto arsenal.

Our different takes on PGA DFS were on full display as you can hear me harp on cash game plays while The Moose focuses on how each player can be used in GPP lineups.

We discuss:

The Farmers Insurance Open

The Stadium Course at TPC Scottsdale

Key Stats for the week

Horses for the course

DraftKings prices we think are too high or too low

Finally we build head to head DraftKings teams and we will keep track of the contest here on the site.

Don’t forget to head to ProjectRoto.com and use the Promo Code Moose for 25% off when you sign up for their Premium Content

Warning *NSFW*

 

Waste Management Phoenix Open DraftKings Picks

Waste Management Phoenix Open DraftKings Picks

After a big time performance by Brandt Snedeker at the Farmers Insurance Open there is no better way to celebrate than head to the desert at TPC Scottsdale for the Waste Management Phoenix Open.  The stadium course is know for it’s rocking ways and for it’s incredible fan atmosphere which will be a big change from watching an empty Torrey Pines on Monday morning finish.  There are major swings on Sundays at holes 15 through 17 at the stadium course as two par 5’s sandwich a par 3 that has become notorious for seeing players not be able to handle the stadium atmosphere.  Local heros like Phil Mickelson get cheered while sticks in the mud get booed.  In the following post I’ll give you a look at how I’m attacking my Waste Management Phoenix Open picks.

Course Information ( TPC Scottsdale Stadium Course, Par 71, 7,266 Yards with decent sized greens)

Horses for the course:

Bubba Watson 12,100
Watson has finished runner up twice and his game is picture perfect for this now lengthened course.  He’s averaged over 100 DK points the last four years at Phoenix so it’s going to be tough to fade him.

Phil Mickelson 10600
Phil has won here a bunch, but all back when the course was playing shorter and with easier landing areas.  There was some hope going into Torrey Pines that Phil had fixed something, but he imploded in Friday and doesn’t look like the skills merit this price tag right now.

Hideki Matsuyama 11000
Matsuyama is maddening as he’s such a terrible putter.  He blew it on the Friday just last week as his putter let him down as he battled to make the cut.  Luckily his putter isn’t such a big deal in Phoenix where his tee to green game can see him once again top 100 DK points.  The only question is, is his price tag too high for how he’s playing right now.  I think it is, but we’ll see what TheMoosenomics thinks on the podcast.

Graham DeLaet 7700
DeLaet famously called out Patrick Reed for withdrawing from the Farmers Insurance Open last week after he shot over 80 in the 3rd round.


DeLaet is an incredible ball striker and has great course history here.  If he had played better at FIO, I’m sure his price may have been prohibitive, but at 7700 he’s a solid play.

Hunter Mahan 7600
Hunter Mahan has averaged over 87 DK points his last three times teeing it up in the desert and won in 2014.  He had a down 2015, but all reports have him back on the grind to try and make the Ryder Cup team.  Mahan’s price has me using him a decent amount this week.

Ryan Palmer 9900
Ryan Palmer has excelled at the WMPO over the years.  Palmer is deceptively long off the tee and is an excellent putter.  His numbers on approaches from 150 to 200 yards out are also top notch.  I really like Palmer this week.

Webb Simpson 9200
Webb Simpson burst on the scene a few years ago with a big US Open win over Jim Furyk.  Since then he has been inconsistent and now faces 2016 without an anchored putter.  Luckily his putter won’t be an issue in Phoenix as the greens are relatively easy.  His tee to green strokes gained and excellent numbers from 150 to 200+ approach shots have me liking him even more.  His price is going to scare some off because of his recent play, but this is the week to grab him.

Kevin Na 10000
Kevin Na hasn’t topped 73 DK points since the course was lengthened.  His ideal approach shot is from 125-150 yards and he’s not going to see too many of those this week.  The price is a bit high for me even though he is in form.

Two Pricing stacks that are going to be hard to choose one golfer from:

1) David Lingmerth 9000
Brendon Steele 8800
Ryan Moore 8500
I can make a case for all three of these guys.  Lingmerth should have won over Dufner at the Career Builder Challenge, but alas fell just short.  He’s in great form and his stats match up well with this course in particular. (Great from 175-200)  Brendon Steele does some of his best work in the desert as he’s scored over 90 DK points in three of the last four years.  His form is good and the only thing holding me back is he may have gotten beaten up a little playing the Farmers.  Ryan Moore plays well at TPC Scottsdale.   It’s a home court advantage for him as he’s topped 100 DK points two out of the last three years.  I’m using Lingmerth in GPPs and Steele and Moore in cash game lineups right now.

2) Graham DeLaet  7700
Martin Laird  7700
Jamie Lovemark  7700
DeLaet and Laird both do some of their best work at this course.  DeLaet has averaged over 99 DK points the last two years and Laird has averaged over 90 in that span.  Laird also boasts a top 5 finish in 2011.  Lovemark is breaking out at the start of the calendar year and his driver is a big reason why.  My only issue is Jamie is in his comfort zone when he can go driver wedge and outside of that it leaves a little to be desired when it comes to his approach proximity.  Lovemark is a GPP play for me, but I’ll be using Laird and DeLaet in both formats.  Maybe a little more Laird in mid cash games as I feel he will be the least used in those games.

My Coin Flip Play

One of my favorite coin flip match ups this week is Sean O’Hair 6500 and Kevin Chappell at 6500.  I like both of them and was leaning more to Chappell when I initially got the pricing, but I started to hedge a little with O’Hair.  O’Hair is off to an excellent start this year with the driver and has been putting great.  My only issue with him is his iron play leaves a lot to be desired lately.  The fact that he has skipped this tournament the last two years has me using him more in GPPs than cash.

My Sprinkles

Harold Varner III 6600

Ben Martin 6400

Morgan Hoffman 6600

Mark Hubbard 6100

 

 

 

Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings

Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings

Now that the calendar has turned to February it’s time to really start digging into the 2016 NFL Draft class with dynasty fantasy football rookie rankings in mind.  Some players will be top picks or highly touted by Draft Gurus, but not be ideal for dynasty purposes.  Others will have had little production in college and look to be a mid round NFL pick, but might make all the difference down the road for your dynasty teams.  Doing the due diligence not only helps in dynasty, but also makes you a more informed redraft fantasy football player.  I mean who wanted to be in the position of not having David johnson stashed on their bench in redraft leagues?

QB Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings

*Overall this class of Quarterbacks is underwhelming*

  1. Jared Goff – California – Goff is tall, but his build is not quite what you want from a franchise QB.  He could use some bulking up to help take NFL punishment.  He has some great intangibles as a thrower, but does not possess top notch arm strength.  He’s not ahead of where Jameis Winston or Marcus Mariota were when they came out last year.
  2. Paxton Lynch – Memphis – Lynch has the frame, hand size and arm strength you want from a franchise QB, but there seems to be something lacking.  He makes really strange throws when pressured and seems to get rattled at times.  His ex-coach did not give him a glowing review when pressed on his maturity and I thought that was a red flag.  He could be the next Ryan Leaf or he could be a better Joe Flacco.
  3. Carson Wentz – North Dakota State – Wentz played at a small school, but produced big time while there.  He is bigger than ideal for an NFL QB, by that I mean at 6’6″ tall and over 230 LBS his mechanics can be an issue.  At the Senior Bowl he apparently impressed a lot of people with his work ethic, but also showed that he needs a lot of work to become a more polished product.
  4. Christian Hackenberg – Penn State University – Hackenberg is still young, only 21, despite being in the news seemingly forever.  He was a 5 star recruit that stuck with Penn State despite the controversy and sanctions and had his best season under Bill O’Brien.  Over the last two years he’s been maddeningly inconsistent and suffered a lot of nagging injuries.  For a time it looked like he could be the next Andrew Luck, now it looks like he’ll be a nice bargain for a team looking to groom a back up or replacement down the road.
  5. Connor Cook – Michigan State –  Cook is the last guy I would consider drafting in a traditional 10 or 12 team dynasty league.  I’m not a huge fan, but he does have nice size and decent arm strength.  Me’s just never impressed me as a QB as his Michigan State teams relied on great defense and physicality on offense.

RB Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings

*Overall this class of running backs is very top heavy with one big time player at the top and then some decent options in the second round*

    1. Ezekiel Elliot – Ohio State University – I have to admit I am a bit biased when talking Ohio State players, but I think most are going to agree that Elliot is by far the top running back in this class.  He is fast, powerful and has shown excellent hands and route running out of the back field.  I’m such a big fan that I may buck my normal thinking of having a wide receiver as my number one draft target based on the both the overall WR class and Elliot’s unique talents.
    2. Derek Henry – Alabama – Henry is so big and strong that it can be a bit worrisome when you look at past NFL comparables.  Not only production wise, but also longevity of production.  He was immensely productive at Alabama and I think in the right situation he could be a beast, especially in standard scoring leagues, but I am worried about how long he will last.  I actually like him a whole lot more redraft leagues than dynasty, but if I’m a win now that happens to have an early to mid 1st round pick he could be ideal.
    3. Kenneth Dixon – Louisiana Tech – Dixon has a nice blend of running back skills and receiver skills.  He is quick with nice burst in the hole and shows the ability to be patient as holes develope.  I’m a big fan of his play, but of course I’m a bit worried that it came against lesser competition.  I also saw a tendency for him to carry the ball in the wrong hand, not a fan of that, but Elliot does that as well.
    4. Alex Collins – Arkansas – Nice size for a running back and extremely productive in the SEC.  He ran behind a massive offensive line and showed the ability to let blocks set up and hit the hole with a burst.  I don’t think he’ll time as well as his posted 40, but as long as he runs under 4.6 I would still like him in this spot.  He finishes runs and has a nose for the end zone.
    5. Jonathan Williams – Arkansas – What, another Arkansas running back?  You bet!  Williams was injured in 2015 so we have to go back to 2014 to see what you’ll be getting when you draft him.  I absolutely love his movement and feel in the hole.  He runs with great balance and finishes his runs.  If he gets a clean bill of health when the doctors check him out he could flash up draft boards.  Big time target for me.
    6. CJ Prosise – Notre Dame – Usually I knock Notre Dame guys down a bit because they have all been over hyped over the years.  (I go back so long that I got burned by Derek Brown TE Giants in a keeper draft)  Prosise might be one of the rare underhyped Golden Domers.  Really like his feet and his ability to finish runs for positive yards.  He shows a good burst as well.
    7. Paul Perkins – UCLA – A bit smaller, but seems to have good hands.  He looks fast on tape and I love the way he puts his foot in the ground and is decisive with his cuts.  Very interesting back, but doesn’t seem to be a true RB1.
    8. Keith Marshall – Georgia – Marshall looks big and fast on tape.  When there’s a hole hie hits it at 100 miles an hour and can take it to the house.  He played behind some very good Georgia running backs in Todd Gurley and Nick Chubb, but Marshall still had a role.  Georgia has been so good lately at recruiting running backs that Marshal could end up being like the guys that were second thoughts in the 90s.  The Olandis Garys of the world.
    9. Devontae Booker – Utah – Booker is tough to bring down, but he’s an older prospect who doesn’t have great speed.  I think he may get drafted higher than I am willing to go in dynasty leagues.
    10. Jordan Howard – Indiana – Howard is big at 6’1″ and 225+ and he uses it well.  He likes to punish defenders at the end of his runs.  He seems a little stiff to me and lacks ideal agility in the hole to really be a great RB, but he could find himself on the better side of an NFL timeshare.

WR Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings

  1. Laquon Treadwell – Ole Miss – Treadwell is a beast.  He wins with physicality and excellent ball skills.  He’s god after the catch and is a tremendous blocker so you know coaches are going to want to have him on the field all the time.  He will probably run a decently slow 40 time, high 4.6s, so you may see him fall in some mock drafts or in some rankings, but don’t get scared off.
  2. Tyler Boyd – Pitt – Boyd has decent size at 6’2″ 190 and looks to have decent speed on tape.  I think he’ll run higher than his posted times, probably mid 4.5s, but he may be the best route runner in this class.  From the slot or outside he make DBs look silly.  He also attacks the ball when it’s in the air and is excellent after the catch.
  3. Michael Thomas – Ohio State – Thomas was my number 2 WR for much of the season, but Boyd showed me a lot more this year than Thomas was able to.  Thomas is big and fast and looks like he can beat man coverage pretty easily.  As he learns how to run routes better he could develop into a high end WR2 in fantasy, but I would be pushing it saying he’s a future WR1.  At least he still has room to grow as OSU was a running team in 2015.
  4. Josh Doctson – TCU – Doctson is going to score TDs in the NFL.  He has unreal ball skills and his height and leaping ability will mean he stays on the field even in short yardage.  His route running is a bit disappointing at this stage.  He doesn’t separate as easily as I had hoped.  I don’t see very scary speed, but he’s still a downfield threat with those ball skills.
  5. Sterling Shepard – Oklahoma – Shepard can get open in phone booth.  He’s so quick in and out of his breaks that he could step on the field on day one and excel in the slot.  He attacks the football and shows nice skills running after the catch.  He’s not flashy because he’s not big, but man he is going to be useful in PPR leagues.
  6. Corey Coleman – Baylor – Coleman has tremendous speed and big play ability.  He’s not DeSean Jackson, who was a tremendous hands WR plus being a speed merchant, but Coleman could be a very nice NFL WR2 down the road.  Coleman has a lot of hype because his highlight tape is ridiculous, but his route tree was limited and he needs to work on getting rid of false steps.  I like Coleman, but I can’t see taking him as a top 5 rookie pick, which is where I see him going lately.
  7. Leonte Carroo – Rutgers – Carroo is a physical specimen who has the upside to develop into a low end WR1.  If you are looking for big time upside at the bottom of your rookie draft 1st round Carroo is your guy.  He had some off the field baggage this year so I have some hesitance to go all in, but I have always liked his big play ability,  He needs to work on his route running on curls and comebacks.
  8. Will Fuller – Notre Dame – Fuller is a bit undersized as a downfield threat, but I love his ball skills.  I like his route running a lot and think has room to improve at the next level with better QB play.
  9. Pharoh Cooper – South Carolina – Cooper is not very fast, but he is a football player in every sense of the word.  He’s extremely tough with excellent run after the catch ability.  He plucks the ball out of the air with his hands and goes after it when going up for contested catches.  His lack of speed and height keep him away from the top half of my WR rankings, but I would love to land him if I needed a WR3 in PPR leagues.
  10. Braxton Miller – Ohio State – Converted Quarterbacks don’t usually work out at the next level.  I’m glad he had at least one year of competition at the collegiate level before trying this in the NFL.  Miller is fast and extremely strong for a slot WR, which is where he would ideally play.  His route running is awful at this point yet defenders can’t stay with him because of his natural physical gifts.  the biggest thing is his hands.  He has great hands and is tremendous after the catch.  A lot of upside, but he is one of the older WRs in this class.

TE Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings

*Oh how I wish OJ Howard or Jake Butt came out*

  1. Hunter Henry – Arkansas – Hunter Henry has nice hands and decent size.  He’s not extremely fast so he’s not a huge big play threat, but he’s a solid TE.  Not a great in-line blocker, but will probably be a TE2 pass catcher out of the gate.
  2. Austin Hooper – Stanford – I like Hooper, but once again he’s not going to blow your doors off as a prospect.  He’s not fast and not overly strong, but has nice hands and runs good routes.
  3. Beau Sandland – Montana State – Big TE with very good speed who played against lesser competition.  I would rather throw a dagger on the unknown then take most of the TEs in this class.
  4. Nick Vannett – Ohio State – Vannett is huge and has nice speed with gigantic hands.  He hasn’t produced at Ohio State which makes taking him a big gamble if you’re light on tight ends.
  5. Kivon Cartwright – Colorado State – I watched a decent amount of Colorado State the last two years and Cartwright always catches my eye.  He’s got huge hands and could be a nice sneaky late TE pick.

Week 13 Fantasy Football Rankings

Week 13 Fantasy Football Rankings

The injuries at tight end cannot be ignored this week.  With the injuries piling up there will be some questions about who to start in Rob Gronkowski’s place.  Use my rankings or the Start/Sit Widget located to the right for all of your week 13 fantasy football rankings questions.

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