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DraftKings NBA DFS Must Plays, Stay Aways & The Bargain Bin, November 18

10 games on the schedule for DraftKings NBA DFS so there’s plenty of selection tonight. The trick is finding out who you can blow the bank on, who you need to avoid like the plague & who you can pull out of the bargain bin.

Must Plays:

Damien Lillard ($8,800) @ Houston Rockets

With the Trailblazers and Rockets projected point total at 211.5, it makes it the second highest projection next to the Pelicans and Thunder game. All signs are pointing to a big night from Lillard. Houston ranks 28th in the NBA giving up a whopping 108.5 points per game. They constantly let opposing point guards put up monster DraftKings points against (52.7). Not to mention that tonight will be the Rockets first game without former head coach Kevin McHale. If you can afford Lillard, slot him into your lineups.

 

Paul George ($9,500) @ Philadelphia 76ers

Projected to be the second lowest scoring game of the night, you typically would want to stay away from this matchup entirely. However; you just can’t do that with the way Paul George is playing. George has gone seven straight games with at least 26 points and hasn’t had less than 40 DK points since November 3rd. He’s been heating up from beyond the arc over his last two games (8/11) and that shouldn’t slow down against a very shorthanded 76ers squad. With George Hill, Rodney Stuckey and Myles Turner out – look for PG to get a lions share of the minutes.

Stay Aways

Rajon Rondo ($8,700) @ Atlanta Hawks

Remember the good ol’ days when Rondo was $5,800? With a price tag up to $8,700, it just doesn’t make sense to blow your budget on a streaky player like Rondo. His last game out against Toronto (with a $8,500 price tag), he struggled to put the ball in the net (TO allows opponent PG’s to only shoot 37.5% from the field). Look for the same production against the Hawks who are right behind the Raptors in that category as well (Opponent PG’s shoot just 39.1% from the field). There are much better options out there.

 

James Harden ($10,000) vs Portland Trail Blazers

No. Just don’t do it. Stay far away. Far, far away. Harden is averaging 27 points, 6 assists and 6 rebounds a game but his shooting percentage is atrocious. 37% while turning the ball over nearly five times a game. With a new coach and the Rockets already in desperation mode – expect Harden to throw up way too many shots. Tonight’s not the night for the beard.

 

Bargain Bin

Ben McLemore ($3,100) @ Atlanta Hawks

McLemore has seemed to have found his shot over the last two games. What a coincidence, as he’s started the previous two matches as well. He’s up against Kyle Korver who may be rested because of Atlanta’s back to back situation. Over the last five games, the Hawks have given up the 11th most DK points to shooting guards (45.3). Want some salary relief? Get some McLemore in your lineup

 

Thanks for reading! If you have any questions for me (Last minute DFS adjustments, start/sit, what you should make for supper) feel free to reach out on Twitter (@BESTofMATT) and I’ll be more than happy to help you out.

 

 

 

 

 

Week 11 FanDuel NFL DFS Podcast with Nick Mensio

Week 11 FanDuel NFL DFS Podcast with Nick Mensio

Nick Mensio (@NickMensio) of Rotoworld.com and contributor to DFSBootcamp joins me to talk NFL DFS Week 11 FanDuel. We discuss the stacks we like in GPPs and cash games (Matt Ryan and Julio Jones, Tony Romo and Dez Bryant, Derek Carr and Amari Cooper), We talk about the running backs we like this week like (Devonta Freeman, Adrian Peterson, Charcandrick West, Latavius Murray, James Starks, Chris Ivory), We also talk about the Seahawks being a chalk Defense and if we should pay up for them or go with Carolina or a low priced option like Chicago or Baltimore.  We also talk about some long shots like Case Keenum and Brian Quick.

https://www.fanduel.com/rotoworld-championship

DraftKings NBA DFS Studs and Values, November 17th

Tuesday’s slate includes a ton of high-tier talent. Three players are priced above $10,000 while five are $9,000 and higher. Which do you build your lineup around? Do you build around any? Let’s take a peek at some studs & values at each position for tonight’s games.

DraftKings NBA DFS Studs and Values, November 17th

By: Matt Best

PG

Stud: Kyle Lowry ($8,200) @ Golden State Warriors

Hear me out. Yes, the Raptors are facing the Warriors. Yes, those Warriors are undefeated. Yes, odds of the Raptors winning are 5:1. That doesn’t mean Kyle Lowry’s hot streak will stop. This game has the highest total point projection (207). Someone’s going to have to shoot the ball for the Raptors. Lowry is averaging 46.31 DK points per game. His counterpart (and the most expensive point guard at $10,700) Stephen Curry is averaging 52 DK points per game. Those 6 DK points aren’t worth the extra $2,500.

Value: Emmanuel Mudiay ($6,100) @ New Orleans Pelicans

Mudiay has been hit or miss this season (39.75 FP vs Milwaukee, 18.5 FP vs Oklahoma City). The good news is, he’s facing a horrific New Orleans defence (30th in total points against | 109.4 per game). The even better news? The Pelicans are pathetic at guarding the 1 (53.5 Average DraftKings points against per game). Opponents point guards shoot 46.1% from the field. This is perfect for Mudiay who’s had 44 shot attempts in his last three games.

 

SG

Stud: DeMar DeRozan ($7,300) @ Golden State Warriors

At $7,300, DeRozan is at the top for SG pricing. If Klay Thompson enters the lineup and has to guard DeRozan, DeMar might have a field day. Thompson has been dealing with a stiff back throughout the year and DeRozan has been explosive throughout the year. The Warriors give up an average of 41.6 DraftKings points to opposing shooting guards. Look for DeMar to join the party.

Value: Khris Middleton ($5,800) @ Washington Wizards

Minutes, minutes, minutes. He really should be called Khris Minuteston. Alright, I’ll stop. Middleton has played 40+ minutes in his last two games and he’s been heating up beyond the arc (4/7 over his last two games). Even with O.J. Mayo probable to make his season debut, expect his minutes to be limited.  The Wizards are most likely to be without Bradley Beal as he’s suffering from a bruised shoulder. In that case, Garrett Temple gets the start which means Middleton needs to be in your lineup.

 

SF

Stud: Carmelo Anthony ($8,500) vs Charlotte Hornets

Charlotte is inside the top ten for most DraftKings points given up to opposing small forwards (40.9). This bodes well for Anthony owners tonight as Melo has been on a scoring tear as of late. His last game out – 29 points, 13 rebounds while shooting 11-21 from the field. His attempts are there and so is the history against Charlotte. The last time Anthony faced the hornets, he had 29 points to go along with 6 rebounds to muster up 42.5 DraftKings Points. His counterpart, Marvin Williams, is dealing with a right pectoral strain. That won’t bode well against the already hard to guard Melo.

Value: Otto Porter ($5,400) vs Milwaukee Bucks

Porter is well on his way to a break out campaign. Porter hit the glass hard his last game out, picking up 10 rebounds against the Magic. Look for around the same production against a Bucks squad who gives up 8.3 RPG against opposing small forwards. Porter is getting a lions share of the minutes with Beal out of the lineup and the Bucks give up 20+ points to opposing SF’s. More minutes = more points. More points = more money for you.

PF

Stud: Greg Monroe ($8,100) @ Washington Wizards

Three. Straight. Double. Doubles. That’s all you should really need to know at this point. What you see is what you get with Monroe, and what you should see is a must play. The Wizards will have Marcin Gortat and his 14.51 Player Efficiency Rating go up against Monroe and his 24.93 PER. Bad news for Washington. Over the last five games, the Wiz have given up 53.2 DraftKings points per game on average against opposing power forwards. Get Monroe in your lineup.

Value: Thaddeus Young ($5,900) vs Atlanta Hawks

Thaddeus had his best game of the season against the best team in the league on Saturday, posting 26 points and 10 rebounds en-route to 50 DK points. Expect the mobile PF to take Paul Millsap on a shooting adventure. Opposing PF’s shoot 52.3% from the field and Young is certainly starting to shoot the ball more (22 FGA vs GS).

 

C

Stud: Andre Drummond ($9,900) vs Cleveland Cavaliers

When was the last time Andre Drummond failed to register a double double? April 13th. He was only one rebound away. The Drummond train has been rolling all season long and it’ll just continue to push through opponents. It’s next stop – Cleveland. Timofey Mozgof will get the first crack at slowing him down, but when that fails – Tristan Thompson will attempt to slow him down. Thompson had a season low 4 rebounds his last game out. Play Drummond.

Value: Andrew Bogut ($4,800) vs Toronto Raptors

Bogut has seen his minutes go higher and higher since coming back from a concussion. He saw a season high 32 minutes off the bench against Brooklyn while registering a double double and stuffing the stat sheet (10 points, 18 rebounds, 4 assists, 3 blocks, 2 steals). Against a Toronto D who’s given up 61.0 DraftKings points against opposing centres, there’s no better opportunity for the old Bogut to continue to come back into form.

 

Bargain Bin:

PF – J.J. Hickson ($4,300)

SG – Rondae Hollis-Jefferson ($3,300)

PG – Dennis Schroder ($4,600)

Thank you for reading and don’t hesitate to reach out on Twitter (@BESTofMATT) with any last minute DraftKings line up questions.

 

Week 10 Fantasy Football Rankings

With the Colts, Falcons, Chargers and 49ers on a bye many of you may be looking for who to start this week. (Okay, maybe not the 49ers or the Colts at this point.)  Hopefully the week 10 fantasy football rankings below will help you with your choices.  The injury to Allen Hurns at the end of the Jaguars Vs. Jets game really makes me mad as he has a golden match up against a still struggling Baltimore Ravens secondary.  With that in mind you may have to move Allen Robinson up a few pegs this week.  The injury to Prince Amukamara has made the Giants pass D especially week against teams secondary wide receivers and this week the Giants face Brandon Lafell coming off of his best game since he returned from a foot injury.

James Starks has taken over the lead RB role in Green Bay and Aaron Rodgers could take out some frustration on the Detroit Lions in week 10.  I like bumping up teams running games coming off of a bye, but the Cardinals and Seahawks get to face each other in a match up that doesn’t invite top notch out put.

 Week 10 Fantasy Football Rankings

FanDuel Quick Picks for Week 10

FANDUEL QUICK PICKS FOR WEEK 10 NFL DFS

By Brian Quick

Hey Fanduelers, all eight of you in South Dakota that are still allowed to play by law. We are coming to the legal crossroads of DFS and history is not on our side. Unless of course that history is the American revolution but that took a lot of work. We play fantasy football for a reason. We are all too busy, lazy, and tired to play real sports. Will we organize and revolt if they take it all away from us? Thanks to the internet we can! Let us revolt from the comfort of our own reclining chairs when the time comes in the near future. I encourage all of you to reach out to your politicians and let them know that DFS may not be perfect but it’s our way of life. Would our founding fathers have shown off their skill by selecting D’Angelo Williams and Antonio Brown last week? Your damn right they would and they wouldn’t let the British stop them from playing DFS. Why should we?

PLAYER PICKS FOR WEEK 10 Tournament Style

Quick Tip #1 – Aaron Rodgers – QB – Packers – ($9200)
I don’t love spending big on a QB because it’s the easiest position to find value at. However, I don’t love the matchups that the mid-tier QBs have and I’m tentative to take either of the two long shots that I will mention below. I was deciding between Tom Brady vs. the Giants porous secondary or a mad Aaron Rodgers vs. a god-awful Lions team at home. I’m going with Rodgers because I expect him to put up huge numbers with ease. The Packers can’t fool around as they’ve lost two games in a row. They will come out and blow away the Lions and they won’t take their foot off of the gas. Rogers will complete less passes than last week but his yardage numbers should go up and his TDS should range between 3-5. I expect a 400+ yard game with 4 TDs. You have to pay the price but that’s OK as I see value at other positions.

Quick Tip #2 – Todd Gurley – RB – Rams ($9200) –
Taking the top two most expensive players seems crazy but trust me, the value picks are there are great value picks in the WR category and for your second RB. Gurley faced a tough Vikes D last week and still post respectable numbers of 89 rushing yards and TD to go with 3 catches for 20 yards. The Bears have actually been better than I thought they’d be but this will be a back to back road game for them in a short week. This is where we see the bad bears. They just won’t be able to contain Gurley and I can see him breaking big run after big run.

Quick Tip #3 James Starks – RB – Packers ($6000)
Value. Eddie Lacy stinks. James Starks is the man. If you wasted a pick on Lacy or spent a lot of money on him in an auction draft it is just another reminder why FanDuel is so popular. Starks is going to put up all sorts of numbers this week as the Packers have their way with the Lions. Last week Starks caught 6 passes for 83 yards and a TD, while rushing for 39 yards on 10 carries. The carries are going to go up, the TDs are going to go up, and the passing yards should be the same. ALL FOR $6000! This offsets some of the Rogers (or Brady) and Gurley investment.

Quick Tip #4 – Martavis Bryant – WR – ($6500)
Landry Jones likes to throw to Bryant more than Antonio Brown. Take a look back to weeks 6 and 7 where Jones threw to Bryant for 3 TDs and especially week 6 where they torched the Cardinals D for 137 yards. All the while Antonio Brown wasn’t doing much. To me, this is like getting Antonio Brown for $6500 assuming Landry Jones doesn’t fall apart. It’s a home game vs. the Browns so he should be ok. Great Value.

Quick Tip #5 – Davante Adams – WR – Packers ($5800)
Adams is the guy that needed to step up and be Jordy Nelson. Last week he caught 7 of his 11 targets for 93 yards. He is finally healthy and his value was so bad that he is only back up to $5800. This is his breakout week. He fits so nicely in lineups and his upside this week makes it hard to contain my excitement.

THE LONGSHOTS

Below are 5 long shots that have a chance to hit this week along with a small blurb about each one and their Fanduel price. Adding any one of these guys is like adding a long shot into horse racing exacta or trifecta.

Landry Jones – QB – $6200 – I’m going to play him in one lineup because I think at that price it’s worth it for the few bombs to Bryant.

Kirk Cousins – QB – $6500 – The Saints give up ridiculous amounts of passing yards and TDs. They’ve done that at home the past two weeks. What are they going to be like on the road? Tempting to take Cousins.

Rueben Randle – WR – $5700- I assume that Belichick will take Odell Beckham Jr. out of this game. I believe the Giants will be trailing and playing catchup all day. This could be one of those once every year huge games for Randle.

Jordan Reed – TE -$5800 – In my mind he is going to do what Delane Walker did to the Saints last week. In reality, he will get hurt in the first quarter and disappoint me yet again.

Pierre Garcon – WR – $6400 – If my plan to use players playing the Saints awful defense fails I can live with that. Last week he caught four passes on eight targets for 70 yards. I want to use Desean Jackson but feel he’s one hamstring tweak from doing nothing. Garcon is the safer bet here.

Thank you once again for taking the time to read this. Remember, this is early week advice, so make sure you read up as the week goes on and make necessary changes to your lineups before game times. Please follow me on twitter @QuickRotoTips.

FANDUEL QUICK PICKS FOR WEEK 9 NFL DFS

FANDUEL QUICK PICKS FOR WEEK 9 NFL DFS

By Brian Quick

Hey Fanduelers, I hope you didn’t step on any injury land mines last week as many players went down in a crazy week. I also hope you chose to play Drew Brees or Eli Manning last week. Not that I offered any such advice in my early thoughts last week. I only play those guys on their four interception weeks. Some guys (Marvin Jones) just torture me relentlessly. Things are not great over here as my wife wanted to take me out of playing Fanduel after week 8, but I talked her into letting me stay in the game and pitch week nine. What could go wrong?

PLAYER PICKS FOR WEEK 9

Quick Tip #1 – Ben Roethlisberger – QB – Steelers – $8300
Big Ben was a little off in his first game back but I love the matchup this week at home against a Raiders Defense that allows the most passing yards per game this season. The much improved Raiders offense could make this a back and forth scoring fest that you want to be part of. Last week Ben attempted 45 passes, completing 28 of those for 262 yards and a TD. Laveon Bell being done probably doesn’t impact Ben too much because D’Angelo Williams does a great job as well including catching passes. With a week under his belt to shake off the rustiness look for Roethlisberger to put up some big numbers this week.

Quick Tip #2 – DeAngelo Williams – RB – Steelers ($6500) – This is going to be a popular play this week so if you don’t like taking players in your lineup that are used in a high percentage of lineups then he’s not for you. For me, the price is just too damn good to pass up. Last week he had 9 carries and rushed for 71 yards against a pretty darn good defense. He also caught 4 passes for 39 yards all as a replacement after Bell went down. He was good when Bell was out, 29 points at home vs. the 49ers, and he will be good the rest of the way.

Quick Tip #3 Ronnie Hillman – RB – Broncos ($6400)
The Colts are excruciating to watch each week. The Broncos Defense is going to tear them apart this week. You can take either Broncos RB and probably get good value from both. I’m going to choose Hillman because he is the starter which guarantees a few more carries. Last week Hillman carried the ball 19 times for 60 yards and two TDs with one reception for a loss. He missed some time in the third quarter which allowed CJ Anderson to also put up productive stats. Monitor this situation closely during the week but if Hillman’s injured thigh is fine and he is the starter then go with him.

Quick Tip #4 – New England Patriots – D – ($4900)
I’m going to miss you Rams Defense but the Patriots value here is too good to pass up. Kirk Cousins may have more completions to Pats Cornerbacks then he will to his own receiving corps. The Patriots will score often which will put their D on the field for scoring chances. The defense that last week held the red hot Dolphins offense to 7 points and sacked the QB 5 times while picking off 2 passes. $4900 fits nicely in any lineup.

Quick Tip #5 – Antonio Brown – WR – Steelers ($8700)
I am all-in on the Steelers this week. I’ve already mentioned how the Raiders give up the most passing yards per game in the NFL. I want the QB, his favorite WR, and the value RB who catches passes. This is the last time Brown will be under $9000 and early in the year I was playing him successfully no matter what his price was. Some people have gotten used to not playing him in their lineups. This may be the last week before he explodes again and everyone is on board. Last week he put up a modest 6 catches for 47 yards and a TD. I’m looking for a return to the 9-195-1 line from early September.

THE LONGSHOTS

Below are 5 long shots that have a chance to hit this week along with a small blurb about each one and their Fanduel price. Adding any one of these guys is like adding a long shot into horse racing exacta or trifecta.

Tavon Austin – WR – $5700 – A great game last week and he’s still really cheap. I consider him a home run hitter. He’s either going to hit a couple of homers or strike out 4 times. Even his bad weeks lately have been 8 or 9 points. There’s good value here.

Davante Adams – WR – $5100 – Yes the Panthers Defense is good but Aaron Rogers is going to be very determined coming into that game after his performance on national tv last week. Josh Norman will not be covering him so he could be a sneaky play as he has fallen completely off the fantasy radar. Worth a gamble in a lineup or two.

Melvin Gordon – RB – $6100- Is a breakout game coming? The Chargers are committed to him and the Bears D is shaky allowing the 8th most rushing yards per game this season. Last week he had 18 carries for 54 yards and caught 5 passes. Monday night games are a nice time to break out.

Jameis Winston – QB -$6700 – On one of those Saints passing TDs last week it looked like the Giants had nobody on the field. The Giants passing D gave up 7 TDs last week. Let’s say they only give up 4 this week. Winston is a nice play for those who don’t like to spend on a QB.

Jeremy Langford – RB – $6400 – The Chargers have given up 100 yards to a rusher in six straight games. Matt Forte should be out affording Langford plenty of touches and a possible 100 yards rushing.

Thank you once again for taking the time to read this. Remember, this is early week advice, so make sure you read up as the week goes on and make necessary changes to your lineups before game times. Please follow me on twitter @QuickRotoTips.

Week 9 Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Targets

Week 9 Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Targets

DeAngelo Williams –  The terrible season ending knee injury to Le’Veon Bell makes DeAngelo the top waiver wire option.  Hopefully you saved some of that FAAB money for this extremely useful handcuff.

Jeremy Langford – Matt Forte has a knee injury that will hold him out a few weeks and Langford will pick up the slack this week in a juicy match up against the San Diego Chargers.

CJ Spiller – The increased use of CJ in the passing game and injury to Khiry Robinson has Spiller looking like a great pick up in PPR leagues.  The Saints Defense isn’t getting any better so there should be plenty of passes thrown his way.

Pierre Thomas – With the litany of injuries suffered by the San Francisco 49ers, Pierre Thomas finally got the call back to the NFL.  Thomas should be a nice target for a RB in a PPR league in a few weeks.

Malcolm Floyd – With Keenan Allen suffering a lacerated Spleen it looks like Phillip Rivers will again have to lean on his big dep threat receiver in San Diego.

Kamar Aiken – Aiken becomes the defacto number one wide receiver in Baltimore with the season ending injury to Steve Smith.  He will have some hit and miss weeks, but Baltimore’s defense means he will see a bunch of targets.

Dorial Green-Beckham – The change at head coach could mean we see more of the talented rookie in the passing game.

DeSean Jackson – Jackson may have been dropped by an impatient owner in your league and becomes a top priority pick up for me in standard leagues.

Nate Washington – Nate Washington has been so steady since Cecil Shorts went down with injury that I think he will keep the number two role going forward.

Ben Watson – Watson is a target monster in an offense where the QB loves throwing to his tight ends.

Heath Miller – Big Ben loves him some Heath Miller and I love when the two play together.  He is up and down, but still needs to be owned in every league.

Austin Sefarian-Jenkins – The Giants have not figured out a way to cover a tight end yet this season and if ASJ is healthy he will clearly be the best match up for the Bucs to exploit.

For more in-depth Free Agent Advice check out Nando Di Fino and I breaking down the week 9 Fantasy Football Waiver Wire scene.

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