Monthly Archives: September 2014

Home/2014/September

Fantasy Football Week One Reaction Podcast

Episode 025: The Fantasy Coach Podcast

Fantasy Football Week One Reaction and Analysis

Featuring Matt Rittle (@FFRittle) of SportableNFL, rotoViz, and ProjectRoto

About My Guest:  Matt Rittle is one of the nicest people I have come across since joining Twitter just a few years ago and he happens to know a lot about FantMatt Rittleasy Football.  Matt works for 4for4.com (helping them with their CS), SportableNFL, rotoViz, and ProjectRoto where he covers fantasy football.  His preseason series on Best Ball leagues and MFL 10s was  must read for any fantasy football fan.

Episode Summary:  Mr. Rittle and I discuss some of the major fantasy football talking points from week one of the NFL season.  We also go over the week one waiver wire and let you know who you should be spending your FAAB budget on and why.  We also answer some the audience’s questions in The Coach’s Office.

Episode Rundown:

  • Intro
  • Week One Fantasy Football Talking Points from each game.
  • Waiver Wire Adds and Drops
  • The Coach’s Office (Brought to you by RevoLabels.com)
  • Outro

You can Download this episode as well as the previous three on Itunes and Stitcher Radio.  

Thank Yous For Episode 025: I want to thank Matt for coming on the first in-season episode of The Fantasy Coach Podcast, and helping everyone get ready for week two of the Fantasy Football season.  I would also like to thank C-Quel for providing the intro music as well as the outro beat.  You can Find all of C-Quel’s current music available here.

Waiver Wire Adds and Drops

Fantasy Football: Waiver Wire Adds and Drops

The hangover from an exciting week one in Fantasy Football is hitting me like a flying kick from Antonio Brown.  The surprises (Allen Hurns and Justin Forsett), the disappointments (Jamaal Charles and Dez Bryant), and of course the injuries (Eddie Lacy, Jordan Reed, Ben Tate, Doug Martin, Jordan Cameron and Alshon Jeffrey) all made for a mentally exhausting Sunday.  As they say, a little hair of the dog is good for what ails you and tonight we get a double shot of Monday Night Football to cure the hangover.  In case you didn’t get enough intrigue this off season we have two questionable fantasy starters in Antonio Gates and Andre Ellington.  I would look for Gates to play limited snaps, but I’m not as optimistic on Ellington and his ailing foot.  (Weird, because usually it’s Gates’s foot that we would have been griping about.)

chris ivory

With the breaking news that Ray Rice has been suspended indefinitely and his contract has been terminated by the Baltimore Ravens (Finally), we have to discuss their current backfield options.

Bernard Pierce – Pierce got the start after recovering from a concussion he suffered in the preseason, but he picked up right where he left off last season.  He plodded his way to 17 yards on six carries and was non-existent in the passing game.  The Ravens have a lot of trouble running to their left side and Pierce is so one dimensional right now that teams can bottle him up.  He’s still a hold for me because of the opportunity here, but I think you will be kicking yourself for not taking Knowshon Moreno on draft day instead of Pierce.

Justin Forsett– Forsett was signed to be Ray Rice passing game insurance and now the Ravens are forced to make due after the revelations of the TMZ video.  Forsett is a journeyman change of pace back that has a nice set of hands and is surprising when he is given a chance to carry the ball.  Forsett ran for 71 yards on 12 carries (again his production was better to the right side with 7 carries for 44 yards and one TD) and caught five passes for 14 yards.  Forsett looks to be the immediate beneficiary of the Rice departure, by solidifying his role and because the Ravens may be forced to pass  the ball in order to move it.

Lorenzo Taliaferro-Taliaferro is a favorite of many of the dynasty fantasy football minds that I talk to because he is the type of running back who can get what’s blocked and push a pile when needed.  The ability to fall forward and make oneself small when entering the hole is very important when the size of the holes aren’t what they used to be.  Taliaferro is worth a stash in deep leagues and should see his number called before too long.

Terrance West-You might be wondering why Terrance West would be on a waiver wire article after all the hype in the preseason, but believe it or not he’s available in a lot of 10 team leagues.  He’s 80% owned on ESPN and that climbed 10% in the last day.  Ben Tate was always an injury concern, and West is the direct beneficiary.  The 100 yard day will make him pretty expensive and the questionable status of Tate makes the price a little murky, but I would be in buy mode with West.

Isaiah Crowell– Crowell was not in the original game plan, but he was called upon when Tate went down with a knee injury.  Crowell showed why many draft pundits wanted to see him get a shot in the late rounds as he rushed five times for 32 yards and two touchdowns.  The emergence of Crowell really hurts the prospects for Tate, even when he’s healthy because this backfield could become a true RBBC situation. I would stash Crowell in very deep leagues, such as 16 team leagues or 14 team leagues.

Andrew Hawkins– Hawkins was specifically targeted by the Cleveland Browns organization during free agency and they did something a little unorthadox by signing him to a restricted free agent offer sheet.  Hawkins has always had the reputation of being almost uncoverable in the slot, but he never got the type of targets or snaps that he needed in Cincy.  On Sunday in Pittsburgh it was obvious that he is the first or second option on most passing plays as he caught eight passes on nine targets for 87 yards with 30 of those yards in YAC.  Hawkins is a must roster in full PPR leagues and is even rosterable in .5 PPR 10 team leagues.  His 11% ownership on ESPN is bound to swell.

Brian Quick– Quick is one of those guys that has frustrated many dynasty fantasy football players for years.  His immense upside has been hard to ignore, but his failure to emerge when surrounded by mediocre talent has been worthy of some hair pulling.  Sunday Quick led the Rams wide receiver corps in snaps at 48/70 and he dominated the targets as well.  He out targeted Kenny Britt 9 to 2 and caught seven of those targets for 99 yards while Britt was shut out.  Quick could go from a remember that name type of guy to a big time wide receiver three or four in 12 team fantasy leagues if he keeps this up.  I would take a flyer in almost all leagues and especially where I took a shot on Britt.

Benny Cunningham– Cunningham played more snaps than second round fantasy pick, Zac Stacy, but Stacy out touched Cunningham 12-9.  Cunningham showed well in the passing game as he secured four passes for 30 yards and he benefited by an early drop from Stacy.  The situation has truly become a RBBC and Cunningham benefits from the Rams struggles as he will be used in the passing game more, he already outsnapped Stacy 21-13 in the opening game.  Take a shot on Cunningham in full PPR, especially if you went Zero-RB.  He could be a poor man’s Woodhead if this continues.

Allen Hurns– Talk about a breakout performance by a guy that wasn’t even expected to make the team.  The Jaguars jumped all over the Eagles early as Hurns exploded for four receptions for 110 yards and two touch downs.  Hurns was a surprise starter as Cecil Shorts III once again came up lame.  Hurns probably wouldn’t have even been in line to play if Allen Robinson hadn’t been injured in training camp.  All that is in the past as Hurns has done nothing but impress since he was given a chance.  I’m not running out to grab Hurns, because of the crowded WR corps, but I wouldn’t blame you if you did.  He is big and fast and it will be hard to keep him off the field after this performance.  He is a must roster in all leagues larger than 14 teams and could be a sneak add in 12 teamers.

Bobby Rainey– Rainey is the direct back up to Doug Martin and Martin suffered a leg injury on Sunday.  The Tampa Bay Offensive Line struggled on Sunday, but most O-lines will against that Carolina front.  Rainey is a pin ball in the passing game and is much stronger than he looks, when he is asked to carry the ball.  I like Rainey in leagues where I went Zero-Rb or where i suffered some injuries.  Mike James wasn’t fully recovered from a preseason injury on Sunday and could make this a RBBC, but that’s okay.  I want the PPR side of this equation anyway.

Jonathan Dwyer and Stepfan Taylor–  Tonight’s game and the coming days are going to be keys to how we treat the situation in Arizona.  I tend to think Ellington is more injured than what the Cardinals are letting on and think Dwyer is the guy to pick up, especially in standard leagues.  If Ellington misses major time Dwyer would be no better than a bye week fill-in, but you never know if the light finally comes on for the former Steeler.

Chris Ivory– I’m not sure why Ivory is available on the wire, but he should be scooped up as soon as possible.  Ivory is the perfect compliment to Chis Johnson for the Jets and your fantasy team will benefit from a fresh ivory running at tired defenders.  Ivory was one of the key running backs in my Zero-RB draft approach and he also fell further in drafts as the season approached.  The reasons for his fall were obvious.  He has a long history of not being able to stay healthy and has a legitimate fantasy running back playing with him.  Ivory was listed as the co-starter on Sunday and was outsnapped by Johnson 35-28.  Ivory broke a long touchdown run to make his day look better on paper than what it really was, but he did run hard on his other carries.  If Geno Smith can take care of the ball Ivory should be a nice flex option, especially in standard leagues.

All stats courtesy of PFF-ProFootballFocus.com

[/fusion_builder_column][/fusion_builder_row][/fusion_builder_container]

Week One FanDuel NFL DFS Cheat Sheet

Week One Fanduel NFL DFS Cheat Sheet

Everyone needs a little help when it comes to setting lineups and the decisions get even harder when you have the entire NFL at your finger tips.  Setting an NFL DFS lineup can seem like a daunting task, but it’s a piece of cake when you know where to look for the the right tools.  Luckily for you (and Me) FantasyPros made it easy by letting us use their value cheat sheets.  Take a look and then take your chance at joining the DFS millionaire’s club.

Value Plays first:  Take a look at Andre Ellington, probably the only place I will be rostering him this week!

FanDuel Cheat Sheet

Week One NFL DFS Value Plays on DraftKings

Week One NFL DFS Value Plays For Draft Kings

Renee Miller and I spoke about many of these players last night on The Fantasy Coach Podcast (Listen here), but I figured I could touch on a few names that I just can’t seem to get away from.

My favorite values:

Julius Thomas at 5800- I absolutely love Thomas this year and think Peyton Manning and the Denver Broncos are going to be putting the pedal to the medal in their first live action since the Super Bowl loss to the Seahawks.  Thomas has a very good chance to be the top TE in week one and he’s almost 2500 dollars cheaper than Jimmy Graham.

Shaun Hill at 5000-  Obviously rock bottom prices for starting QBs don’t come along often.  There would have to be a freak mid weak injury for you to see this type of value in season, but to start the season these things happen.  Hill is a decent back up QB in the NFL and isn’t afraid to get the ball downfield to his big wide receivers.  The Vikings secondary was pretty bad last year and they only upgraded at the slot corner position and I’m not sure it was much of an upgrade.

Mark Ingram at 4200-  Ingram looked like a different RB at the end of last season and through out the preseason.  The Saints were opening up huge holes and Ingram was running angry and was very decisive when it was his turn in the triumvirate of the Saints’ backfield.  Sure he won’t catch many balls with Pierre Thomas  there, but he will be running against a run defense that didn’t get much better in the off season when he faces Atlanta.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Defense at 3100- Lovie Smith is in town and inherited a lot of talent on the defensive side of the ball.  The Bucs also spent in the off season on that side of the ball and it showed in the preseason as they didn’t give up a touchdown with their first unit.  With Cam Newton a game time decision the Bucs could be going against the turnover machine that is known as Derek Anderson.

Alshon Jeffrey at 7100-  Jeffrey may not have the lowest points to dollars spent out of my best buys, but he very well could be the best play of the weekend.  I watched the Bills secondary look very shaky in the preseason and Jeffrey looks like he is on the verge of joining the big six wide receiver conversation.  He could easily have the best numbers in week one of the DFS slate.

 

 

(Ignore the Shaun Droughn Value in the graphic!)

[/fusion_builder_column][/fusion_builder_row][/fusion_builder_container]

Episode 024: Week One NFL DFS With Renee Miller

Episode 024: The Fantasy Coach Podcast

Fantasy Football Edition: Week One NFL DFS

Featuring: Renee Miller (@ReneeMiller01)

About My GuestRenee Miller:  

Renee Miller, Ph.D. is a neuroscientist at the University of Rochester. She is an avid fantasy player, participating in multiple season long NFL, NBA, and MLB leagues. Her first love is Daily Fantasy Sports, which she writes about at RotoWorld, Pro Football Focus Fantasy, Fantasy Insiders, RotoWire, and The Fake Football. She occasionally contributes articles for season long fantasy football to RotoViz. Her book, Cognitive Bias in Fantasy Sports: Is your brain sabotaging your team? combines her  knowledge of neuroscience with her love of fantasy sports. It will give you new insight into how you approach fantasy decisions and help you to make the most logical and rationale choices.

Episode Summary:  Renee and I talk about the DFS slate for week one of the NFL season across DraftKings and Fanduel.  We discuss how the vagaries of week one of the first week of the NFL change the way we normally approach setting up our lineups.  We specifically talk about Peyton Manning, Julius Thomas, Frank Gore, Shaun Hill, LeSean McCoy, Alshon Jeffrey, Michael Floyd, Michael Crabtree and Rob Gronkowski.

You can Download this episode as well as the previous three on Itunes and Stitcher Radio.   

Rene’s Latest Articles:  Rotoworld.com’s Fanduel Bargain Bin DFS

 

Thank Yous For Episode 024:  I want to thank Renee for coming on the podcast and sharing her DFS insights for week one of the NFL season.  Make sure you check back in the next few days as I will have a bunch of links to her latest articles.  I would also like to thank C-Quel for providing the intro music as well as the outro beat.  You can Find all of C-Quel’s current music available here.

 

 

[/fusion_builder_column][/fusion_builder_row][/fusion_builder_container]

Fantasy Football Week One Rankings

Fantasy Football Week One Rankings

Will starting Eddie Lacy help you pull away from the competition?

Will starting Eddie Lacy help you pull away from the competition?

While week one of the NFL season is infinitely better than all the previous weeks since the Super Bowl, it is a very strange week for start/sit questions in Fantasy Football.  Most start/sit questions are clouded by preseason performance (even if we all know that it should be thrown out the window) and statistics that are more than a year old.  I really enjoy best ball leagues in week one and two of the NFL season because it takes all of the start/sit uncertainty out of the equation.  The reality is that the vast majority of leagues will have people scrambling for answers.

Enter the FantasyPros Start/Sit Challenge >>

I have already fielded questions about benching Eddie Lacy in week one of the Fantasy Football season.  I obviously can’t condone sitting Eddie Lacy in almost any leagues, even if he is playing against a Seattle Seahawks Defense that was picked in the eighth round of home league drafts. (HaHa!)  If Lacy gets you a combined 80 yards and touchdown you have to be happy with that, and those numbers are well within his range against Seattle. While there is nothing I enjoy more than catching up with old acquaintances and former elementary school  bullies to help them with their start/sit questions, I figured it would be a lot easier to use the Fantasy Football Week 1 Ranking Software provided by FantasyPros.com to answer all of your start sit questions.

Fantasy Football Rankings powered by FantasyPros

Episode 23: Fantasy Football Zach Law

Episode 23: The Fantasy Coach Podcast

Fantasy Football Edition: Auction Strategy and the Tennessee Titans

Featuring: Zach Law (@Zach_Law) Senior Thought Leader FantasyZach LawSports.org

About My Guest:  Zach Law is the Senior Thought Leader (translation: only writer) for Fantasysports.org, a site dedicated to covering the entire fantasy industry which to Zach means “fantasy football only”. He’s also written two books based on his Ask Your Fantasy Football Expert series called “There Is No Off Season” and “There Still Is No Offseason”. He lives in Atlanta with his wife and two cats. 

 

Episode Summary:  Zach and I discuss a recent Fantasy Football auction we participated in and commiserate over the failings of the New York giants and Zach’s beloved Titans.  (Zach does give me shit for complaining about a team that has won two Super Bowls since 2007.

Episode Rundown:

You can Download this episode as well as the previous three on Itunes and Stitcher Radio.   

ThaThere is no off seasonnk Yous For Episode 023:  I want to thank Zach for coming on the podcast and making fun of me for complaining about the New York Giants.  I would also like to thank C-Quel for providing the intro music as well as the outro beat.  You can Find all of C-Quel’s current music available here.

Here’s Zach’s interview with one of my former guests on the podcast, Jonathan Vandersluis (Owner/Writer of Top Team Fantasy) 

 

Go to Top